# Risk of death compared with winning the lottery

## Clinical bottom line

The chances of dying between Friday and Monday is 1100 times more than that of winning the lottery.

## Source of data

• UK National Statistics (www.statistics.gov.uk)
• UK Government actuaries Department (www.gad.gov.uk/)

## What the sources tell us

• Total number of deaths in the UK per year = 571,911
• Total number of deaths in the UK per day = 571,911/365 = 1,567
• Population of the UK = 60,587,000
• Odds of dying in the UK per day = 1 in (60,587,000/1,567) = 1 in 38,667
• Odds of dying over three days (Fri, Sat, Sun) = 1 in 38,667 x 3 = 1 in 12,889

## Give us the odds

• Odds of dying in the UK per day = 1 in (60,587,000/1,567) = 1 in 38,667
• Odds of dying over three days (Fri, Sat, Sun) = 1 in 38,667 x 3 = 1 in 12,889
• Chance of winning the UK National Lottery = 1 in 13,983,816
• The chances of dying between Friday and Monday is 1100 times more than that of winning the lottery

### Figure 1: Comparing chance of winning the UK lottery with average risk of dying over the weekend

Risk Communication Tool (c) John Paling 2000 (www.riskcomm.com)

## Comment

Pretty obvious, really, when you think about it for a few minutes, because about 1% of the population of the UK dies every year, and the chance of winning the lottery is so very small.